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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Kevin Christian
Light Heavyweight

Kevin Christian

0-2-0
Submission Grappler Hard To Take Down Striking Liability
6'7"Height
80"Reach
OrthodoxStance
31Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
3:07Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Weak, rated 22 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking not good · Apr 2026 · stats read 41 → nudged +9 inside the band · claims striking technique -2, kicking +1 (-2) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · claims striking technique -2 (-4) Striking D — Weak, rated 17 of 100 · claims striking defense -1 (-3) Durability — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 23 of 100 · claims td offense -1 (-2) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 57 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Apr 2026 · stats read 32 → nudged -9 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims sub offense +3 (+6) Control — Below avg, rated 37 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking not good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • not good UFC Fight Night Della Maddalena vs Prates Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 26, 2026 watch ↗
grappling good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Della Maddalena vs Prates Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 26, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Garcia vs Onama Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · October 28, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking not good 1 read
grappling good 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling · stats alone on Durability, TD Defense, Control.

Built on 6 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Submission Grappler average grappling — rates 57 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Apr 2026
Hard To Take Down below avg td defense — rates 44 of 100 among UFC veterans
Striking Liability 138 MMA · Apr 2026 grades his striking not good
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.32
Sig. strikes absorbed / min6.08
Striking accuracy71.1%
Striking defense29.6%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense—
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time0.0%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Junior Tafa lean UFC Fight Night Della Maddalena vs Prates Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 26, 2026
strikingnot good grapplinggood

frames the outcome as essentially binary (submission vs knockout); calls his pick surprising

Kevin Christian's striking is weak across the board, generously called average, with wild swings and low hands, and he leans on his height rather than technique to defend. His whole game is jiu-jitsu, where he is genuinely good, using long limbs, a deep submission arsenal, and willing activity off his back because he trusts his offense from underneath. The matchup is framed as almost purely stylistic: either he submits Tafa or gets knocked out trying to grapple him.

Strengthgood jiu-jitsu, long limbs aid his submission arsenal
Strengthactive and offensively willing from his back
Weaknessweak, generously average striking
Weaknessswings wild with low hands
Weaknessrelies on height rather than technique defensively
sub threat · good
vs Billy Elekana clear UFC Fight Night Garcia vs Onama Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · October 28, 2025 · 1 read since
grapplinggood

He calls Christian "completely outmatched" on the feet, doubts he can land a submission consistently, and reassures viewers the steep price "is safe" before committing to Elekana.

Making his UFC debut off a Contender Series win, graded only average on the feet -- his one real asset there is good knees, a product of his height, because otherwise he swings wild, keeps his hands low and has poor defense for a tall man. His grappling is credited as genuinely good: active off his back with a good submission arsenal his long limbs help create, though he is also content to simply sit there rather than always working back up. The analyst doubts he can consistently drag this particular fight to the mat. As of 2025-10-28.

Strengthgood knees off his height/reach
Strengthgood grappling: active off his back with a good submission arsenal
Weaknessstriking overall graded only average: swings wild, hands low, poor tall-man defense
Weaknesscontent to sit on his back rather than always working up
Weaknessdoubted to consistently get this fight to the mat
range · long

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Junior Tafa 6-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:42 — UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 2, 2026
13/21Sig. strikes
21/31Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Billy Elekana 8-2 walk-in Submission · R1 3:33 — UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · November 1, 2025
14/17Sig. strikes
17/23Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 2

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 103 qualified Light Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.3 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 6.1 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 71.1% avg 46.8%
Striking defense 29.6% avg 53.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 38.4%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 0.0% avg 21.6%

Headshot of Kevin Christian by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized