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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Kaynan Kruschewsky
Lightweight · “Bahia”

Kaynan Kruschewsky

0-2-0
Striker Submission Grappler
6'0"Height
73"Reach
OrthodoxStance
35Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
9:30Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 58 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Jul 2024 · stats read 45 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims striking power +1, striking volume +1, striking technique +1, pressure +1 (+5) Accuracy — Average, rated 55 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 18 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Weak, rated 18 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Below avg, rated 30 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Average, rated 53 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 56 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling good · Jul 2024 · stats read 45 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims sub offense +1, ground and pound +1 (+3) Control — Average, rated 46 of 100 · claims ground and pound +1 (+2) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Lemos vs Jandiroba Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 94) · July 15, 2024 watch ↗
grappling good whiteboard
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Lemos vs Jandiroba Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 94) · July 15, 2024 · whiteboard watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling good 1 read · whiteboard
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense.

Built on 19 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker average striking — rates 58 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Jul 2024
Submission Grappler average grappling — rates 56 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling good · Jul 2024
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.1
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.68
Striking accuracy51.9%
Striking defense47.1%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min2.37
Takedown accuracy100.0%
Takedown defense75.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.58
Control time14.6%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Kurt Holobaugh coinflip UFC Fight Night Lemos vs Jandiroba Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 94) · July 15, 2024
strikinggood

He commits (he says he's 'taking Kurt halah') but says explicitly, in his own words, that 'the confidence is low,' and separately tells viewers flatly to stay away from this fight on the betting side. Both are direct statements -- an explicit outcome-confidence admission plus explicit advice to avoid the bet -- which is as clean a coinflip signal as this corpus gets.

A good, forward-pressure striker with good combinations, volume and power, and a BJJ game the analyst thinks is more developed than he has shown -- good elbows from ground and pound, willing to pull guard for the guillotine, opportunistic off his back. He is coming off a brutal KO loss the analyst calls 'flattened' and says he genuinely does not know how Kruschewsky will respond to it.

Strengthgood forward pressure, combinations, volume, power
Strengthmore developed BJJ than shown so far -- good elbows in ground and pound, willing to pull guard for the guillotine
Weaknesscoming off a severe KO loss; the analyst explicitly does not know how he will respond

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Kurt Holobaugh 20-8 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · July 20, 2024
89/156Sig. strikes
92/171Absorbed
3/3Takedowns
2:47Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
L Elves Brener 2-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:01 — UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · November 4, 2023
8/31Sig. strikes
16/33Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 2

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.1 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 5.7 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 51.9% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 47.1% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 2.4 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 100.0% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 75.0% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 1.6 avg 0.6
Control time 14.6% avg 21.3%

Headshot of Kaynan Kruschewsky by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized