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Kaue Fernandes
Lightweight

Kaue Fernandes

3-2-0
One-Punch Power Defensive Striker
5'9"Height
73"Reach
OrthodoxStance
31Age
2KO wins
0Sub wins
66.7%Finish rate
7:45Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 63 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026 · stats read 66 → nudged +3 inside the band · claims striking volume -2, striking technique +1, kicking +3, pressure +1 (+3) Accuracy — Average, rated 68 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Average, rated 69 of 100 · claims head movement +2 (+3) Durability — Below avg, rated 39 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 22 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Average, rated 69 of 100 · claims getup +2 (+3) Grappling — Average, rated 51 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Aug 2026 · stats read 24 → nudged -11 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims sub offense +1 (+2) Control — Below avg, rated 31 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 330 · August 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Abu Dhabi) · July 30, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Sao Paulo Full Card Breakdown, Prediction, & Analysis (UFC Fight Night Almeida vs Lewis) · October 31, 2023 watch ↗
grappling good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 330 · August 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Edwards vs Brady Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 16, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Sao Paulo Full Card Breakdown, Prediction, & Analysis (UFC Fight Night Almeida vs Lewis) · October 31, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling good 3 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Durability, Wrestling.

Built on 38 minutes of tracked cage time across 5 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

One-Punch Power 4 knockdowns · 1.55 per 15 min
Defensive Striker average striking d — rates 69 of 100 · claims head movement +2 (+3)
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.26
Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.63
Striking accuracy55.4%
Striking defense60.1%
Knockdowns / 15 min1.55
Takedowns / 15 min1.16
Takedown accuracy100.0%
Takedown defense76.9%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time9.1%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Jalin Turner lean UFC 330 · August 12, 2026
strikinggood grapplinggood

He names Fernandes and describes the mechanism in detail -- chewing up the legs to slow the opponent and break him down over the course of the fight -- but frames it as an expectation rather than a certainty.

A kicker whose main advantage is that opponents do not see it coming. The analyst's central point is that he telegraphs nothing before he kicks, which is why fighters keep absorbing damage to the legs, and the kicks themselves are fast and punishing. He works from the ground up, attacking the legs first and building to the body as the fight wears on, and his movement in and out of range is very good. The hands are underused, though he has begun throwing them more. His grappling is better than expected: he advances position, carries good top pressure, and scrambles well. One habit is flagged as a genuine cost rather than a strength -- he throws armbars constantly from his back, and while the threat is real, the attempts he does not finish hand his opponent long stretches of control time.

Strengthno visible tell before he kicks
Strengthfast, punishing leg kicks
Strengthsystematic low-to-high kicking progression
Strengthvery good movement in and out of range
Strengthadvances position on the mat
Strengthgood top pressure
Strengthscrambles well
Strengthgenuine armbar threat from his back
Weaknessunderuses his hands, though improving
Weaknessunfinished armbar attempts concede large amounts of control time
sub threat · good
vs Guram Kutateladze lean UFC Fight Night Edwards vs Brady Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 16, 2025 · 1 read since
grapplingsolid strikinggood

He flags 'paths to victory for both' sides, then settles on Kutateladze for a slight edge in UFC experience, feet, and offensive grappling.

As of 2025-03-16, not his newest read. He is a fast, hard-to-read kicker who works all levels, and a solid grappler who presses from top position and scrambles well. His bottom game is double-edged: he hunts armbars off his back constantly, which the analyst frames as a round-costing habit when it fails.

Strengthfast, low-tell kicking
Strengthvaried levels of attack
Strengthpresses top position
Strengthscrambles well
Strengthconstant armbar attempts off his back
Weaknesslosing the round when his back-attacks fail and leave him in bad position
vs Mohammad Yahya clear UFC Fight Night Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Abu Dhabi) · July 30, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplingsolid

A flat, unhedged pick: Fernandes is called the superior fighter in every area with no expected difficulty. The only caveats raised concern his own method on the ground, not the outcome.

A slippery, in-and-out striker with fast, hard-to-see kicks at every level -- his leg kick singled out as especially nasty -- paired with a grappling game built on advancing position, scrambling well, and heavy top control. The one caution flagged is a tendency to over-commit to armbar hunting from his own back, which can leave him stuck in a worse spot if the finish does not come.

Strengthfast, deceptive kicking at every level
Strengthstrong in-and-out footwork
Strengthadvances position and scrambles well
Strengthheavy top control
Weaknessover-commits to armbar attempts from his own back
vs Marc Diakiese lean UFC Sao Paulo Full Card Breakdown, Prediction, & Analysis (UFC Fight Night Almeida vs Lewis) · October 31, 2023 · 3 reads since
strikinggood grapplingsolid

odds are described as roughly even; his language stays soft throughout ('I think' repeated several times) and he frames the projected grappling edge as only slight

Kaue Fernandes is a fast, varied kicker who darts in and out to land, and the analyst calls his grappling solid once it gets going -- he advances position, pressures from top and stays active. His one real complaint is a tendency to spam armbar attempts from guard without a backup plan to scramble or sweep when the attempt fails.

Strengthfast, varied kicking with no tell
Strengthactive, pressuring top game
Strengthgood in scrambles
Weaknessover-relies on armbar attempts from guard without a sweep/scramble follow-up

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 5 fights · green = win
November 4, 2023 vs Marc Diakiese — 1.53/min (L) Nov '23 August 3, 2024 vs Mohammad Yahya — 7.79/min (W) — only 4.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '24 March 22, 2025 vs Guram Kutateladze — 5.27/min (W) Mar '25 September 6, 2025 vs Harry Hardwick — 7.16/min (W) — only 3.4 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Sep '25 August 15, 2026 vs Jalin Turner — 3.08/min (L) — only 0.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '26

Fight history

5 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Jalin Turner 15-9 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:39 — UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · August 15, 2026
2/4Sig. strikes
9/14Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Harry Hardwick 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:21 — UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · September 6, 2025
24/40Sig. strikes
8/23Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:13Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Guram Kutateladze 13-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · March 22, 2025
79/149Sig. strikes
29/71Absorbed
2/2Takedowns
1:43Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Mohammad Yahya 0-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:45 — UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · August 3, 2024
37/63Sig. strikes
4/18Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:09Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Marc Diakiese 16-7 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · November 4, 2023
23/42Sig. strikes
13/32Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
1:27Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
3-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 5

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.3 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 1.6 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 55.4% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 60.1% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 1.2 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 100.0% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 76.9% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 9.1% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 66.7% avg 50.7%

Headshot of Kaue Fernandes by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized