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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Josias Musasa
Bantamweight · “The KO Wizard”

Josias Musasa

0-2-0
Striker Hard To Take Down Suspect TD Defense
5'8"Height
74"Reach
SouthpawStance
28Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
9:08Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 56 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Sep 2025 · stats read 31 → nudged -9 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +1, kicking +2, pressure +1 (+4) Accuracy — Average, rated 52 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Weak, rated 24 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · claims chin +1 (+2) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Below avg, rated 39 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Mar 2025 · stats read 52 → nudged +6 inside the band · claims td defense -2, getup +2 (-1) Grappling — Below avg, rated 37 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Sep 2025 · stats read 27 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims ground and pound +2 (+2) Control — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+3) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Ulberg vs Reyes Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 23, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Vettori vs Dolidze Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 11, 2025 watch ↗
grappling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Ulberg vs Reyes Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 23, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 2 reads
grappling decent 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Durability, Control · stats alone on Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling.

Built on 18 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker average striking — rates 56 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Sep 2025
Hard To Take Down below avg td defense — rates 39 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Mar 2025
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · Mar 2025 tags td defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.07
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.27
Striking accuracy46.7%
Striking defense42.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.82
Takedown accuracy33.3%
Takedown defense87.5%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time5.7%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Colby Thicknesse coinflip UFC Fight Night Ulberg vs Reyes Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 23, 2025
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He says outright that Musasa probably wins if the fight stays standing, before picking Thicknesse on the conditional that it reaches the mat -- a bare pick resting on one scenario, with the other man's path to winning stated plainly first.

A good, powerful striker who comes forward with a heavy leg kick and is athletic with good cardio -- called a physical problem on the feet. His grappling is decent at best: powerful ground-and-pound but takedown defense that leaves a great deal to be desired, though he recovers to his feet due to his athleticism.

Strengthpowerful forward striking with a heavy leg kick
Strengthathletic with good cardio
Strengthpowerful ground-and-pound if grappling happens
Weaknesstakedown defense leaves a great deal to be desired
Weaknessgrappling overall is a step behind his striking
vs Carlos Vera clear UFC Fight Night Vettori vs Dolidze Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 11, 2025 · 1 read since
strikinggood

He expects Vera to have real trouble getting this to a grappling exchange and to be quite uneasy while standing, so he picks Musasa without any hedge.

Our words: an undefeated, very athletic fighter with a heavy standing attack -- real power, a very heavy leg kick, and a chin that holds up. His takedown defense has not looked technically sound on tape, but he compensates by simply powering back up rather than defending cleanly, with cardio and athleticism carrying him through grappling exchanges. The analyst calls him still a bit green given some of his earlier competition.

Strengthreal power and a heavy leg kick on the feet
Strengthtakes a punch well
Strengthpowers back up off takedowns through athleticism and conditioning
Strengthnasty top-position ground strikes when he gets there
Weaknesstakedown defense has not looked technically sound on tape
Weaknessstill green relative to some of his competition
td defense · suspectko power · good

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Colby Thicknesse 7-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · September 27, 2025
43/89Sig. strikes
62/111Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
0:52Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Carlos Vera 0-1 walk-in Submission · R1 3:16 — UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · March 15, 2025
13/31Sig. strikes
16/24Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:10Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 2

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 124 qualified Bantamweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.1 avg 3.7
Strikes absorbed /min 4.3 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 46.7% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 42.2% avg 56.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.8 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 33.3% avg 36.9%
Takedown defense 87.5% avg 62.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 5.7% avg 19.4%

Headshot of Josias Musasa by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized