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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Bantamweight · “The Joker”

Jay Perrin

0-3-0
Precision Striker Durable
5'7"Height
67"Reach
SwitchStance
33Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
10:54Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 43 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Dec 2022 · stats read 43 → nudged +1 inside the band · claims striking technique +2 (+3) Accuracy — Average, rated 62 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Weak, rated 18 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Average, rated 61 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 58 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling good · Dec 2022 · stats read 53 → nudged -1 inside the band · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling good (no takedown-defence tag), half-weighted with the stats read 24 Grappling — Below avg, rated 28 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Average, rated 59 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC 282 Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · December 6, 2022 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC 282 Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · December 6, 2022 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking decent 1 read
grappling not yet read
wrestling good 1 read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Wrestling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, TD Defense · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, Grappling, Control.

Built on 32 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Precision Striker average accuracy — rates 62 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4)
Durable average durability — rates 61 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.09
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.49
Striking accuracy47.5%
Striking defense44.3%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min2.29
Takedown accuracy41.7%
Takedown defense50.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time23.6%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Raul Rosas Jr lean UFC 282 Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · December 6, 2022
strikingdecent wrestlinggood

Names Rosas as the pick twice, each time with 'slightly' attached directly to the win, plus explicit no-bet language both times.

Coming off a rough recent stretch and described as likely facing his last UFC opportunity if he loses here. His clearest path to winning is on the feet, where the analyst gives him a real boxing edge, and he is not short on wrestling himself if the fight turns into a grappling contest.

Strengthmeaningful boxing advantage in this specific matchup
Strengthsolid wrestling in his own right, not purely a boxer
Weaknesspoor recent form, 2-3 in his last five
Weaknessreach/height disadvantage versus this opponent

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
February 19, 2022 vs Mario Bautista — 2.8/min (L) Feb '22 August 20, 2022 vs Aoriqileng — 5.87/min (L) Aug '22 December 10, 2022 vs Raul Rosas Jr. — 1.46/min (L) — only 2.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Dec '22

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Raul Rosas Jr. 6-0 walk-in Submission · R1 2:44 — UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · December 10, 2022
4/8Sig. strikes
3/7Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Aoriqileng 22-10 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · August 20, 2022
88/167Sig. strikes
72/132Absorbed
3/7Takedowns
5:59Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Mario Bautista 8-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · February 19, 2022
42/107Sig. strikes
72/125Absorbed
2/5Takedowns
1:45Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 124 qualified Bantamweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.1 avg 3.7
Strikes absorbed /min 4.5 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 47.5% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 44.3% avg 56.4%
Takedowns /15 min 2.3 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 41.7% avg 36.9%
Takedown defense 50.0% avg 62.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 23.6% avg 19.4%