Jan Blachowicz

Says directly 'I could be wrong, absolutely' and raises that the pick 'could be shot to bits.' Still gives a real mechanism: durability, leg and body kicks, and past top pressure against elite competition.

Blachowicz is a solid striker with power, leg and body kicks and tight defense including checking kicks well, and is called durable even after being dropped in a past fight, since he bounced back and finished on his feet. His grappling is decent, with decent takedowns and good top pressure when he gets on top. The analyst wonders aloud whether a long career is finally catching up with him. He is still picked to give a hard lesson to a younger, undefeated opponent.

picks Blachowicz outright and argues at length that his last-five record undersells him; no hedge on the win itself

As of 2025-12-02, painted as a well-rounded fighter overall: heavy hands, kicks to both legs and midsection, a tight defensive shape including sharp kick-checking, and toughness that's never been questioned. On the mat he's capable too, landing his shots and smothering with pressure once he gets there. The analyst believes his 1-3-1 last-five undersells his true level, arguing he is being underpriced given his pure ability, and that he actually deserved the nod in at least one of those recent defeats plus a disputed draw.

He frames this as a heavy price underdog pick and openly expects the judges' scorecard might not reward it, which discounts conviction in the official result even while backing the fighter.

As of 2025-03-16, not his newest read. A solid power striker with tight defense, kick-checking, and a very durable chin; his grappling is decent with real top pressure once he gets on top. The chapter opens by defending his recent 2-2-1 stretch as a product of poor judging rather than decline, and discusses a layoff and injuries as part of why his record looks the way it does.

Calls this matchup a genuine toss-up, admits the pick could still flip, and settles on only a mild lean toward a tight decision.

A solid striker with real, repeatedly-emphasized power, including a dangerous lead hook and exceptional leg/body kicks that have hurt notable past opponents. He is durable and keeps his hands up well. His path here is framed around wearing on Pereira over three rounds with heavy kicks before mixing in a takedown late, where he is a heavy, controlling top player. The analyst's one real doubt about him is that he lacks the elite length to land his own hook on Pereira as easily as a longer striker could.

Commits by name with a developed, repeated mechanism, but explicitly says he holds less conviction in this one than in his other featured pick on the card, and sizes it as a smaller play.

A former champion who, even at 39, is described as hitting with the same fight-altering force that defined his run to the title, backed by a longer reach than this opponent despite being the shorter man, sound takedown defense, and real counter-grappling from top position. The clear hole in his game is that he contributes little once put on his back and held there. The analyst's stated route for him is forward pressure, because the opponent is said to perform worse the more he is made to retreat.