Guilherme Pat

States the pick with zero qualifiers of any kind, calling it beyond question -- the strongest, least hedged pick on this card.

A fighter whose build and movement make him look like a future standout on sight alone, and he has real technical tools -- accuracy, power, long straight punches, light footwork -- but is described as doing almost nothing with them because his output is extremely low. His takedown defense grades out well, yet when he is actually taken down he offers nothing from his back and struggles badly to get off the cage. The overall read is a lack of urgency/engagement across the board.

wins on volume and grappling

Captioned throughout this chapter as a different, real UFC fighter (Jared Cannonier); every statement here is attributed to him by transcript file and record match, never the spoken name. As of 2026-03-29, undefeated with long, straight, accurate punches and good footwork, but the analyst's central criticism is passivity: low output, trouble getting off the cage, and a lack of urgency the analyst says he flagged in this fighter's previous fight too.

says he's 'going to assume' Frye wins; admits thin tape on both men

Undefeated (5-0) and physically looks the part of a finisher, with good long straights, power, accuracy and light footwork. But the analyst's central read is passivity: Pat repeatedly fails to engage, struggles to get off the cage by choice rather than lack of skill, and has built his record against weak opposition. He is framed as talented but underperforming his tools against anyone who stays busy.