Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market
Bout Simulator
Genaro Valdez
Lightweight · “Rayadito”

Genaro Valdez

0-3-0
Fast Starter Durable Submission Risk
5'9"Height
72"Reach
OrthodoxStance
34Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
11:05Avg fight
Simulate Tapology ↗

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 50 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Jul 2023 · stats read 25 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims striking power +1, striking volume +1, pressure +1 (+4) Accuracy — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Weak, rated 5 of 100 · claims striking defense -1 (-3) Durability — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Jul 2023 · stats read 4 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims chin +2 (+4) Wrestling — Weak, rated 11 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Below avg, rated 28 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Jul 2023 · stats read 20 → nudged -7 inside the band · tag sub defense: suspect (-3) · claims sub defense -1 (-1) Control — Weak, rated 11 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC Vegas 77) · July 11, 2023 watch ↗
grappling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC Vegas 77) · July 11, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling decent 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Striking D · stats alone on Accuracy, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control.

Built on 33 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Fast Starter 138 MMA · Jul 2023 tags pace: fast starter
Durable above avg durability — rates 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Jul 2023
Submission Risk 138 MMA · Jul 2023 tags sub defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.7
Sig. strikes absorbed / min6.71
Striking accuracy28.5%
Striking defense48.3%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.45
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense36.4%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time0.6%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Evan Elder lean UFC Fight Night Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC Vegas 77) · July 11, 2023
strikinggood grapplingdecent

Says 'I lean Elder' and states he is passing the bet rather than playing it; also floats playing the spread on the opponent instead.

A fast-starting, forward-pressure striker who throws good volume and power and is willing to trade shot-for-shot, with decent grappling and a very durable chin that absorbed a past knockout loss only after being dropped repeatedly.

StrengthFast starter, forward pressure
StrengthGood volume and power striking
StrengthVery durable, keeps coming after eating shots
WeaknessDoes not have good submission defense, per the analyst directly
WeaknessStyle makes him eat unnecessary shots ('eat one to give one')
pace · fast starterchin · durablesub defense · suspect
vs Natan Levy coinflip UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 29, 2022 · 1 read since

says he has zero confidence in this one and will not bet it, after switching his own pick late

A forward-marching, high-volume striker who absorbs a lot of punishment but keeps coming, which he thinks neutralizes Levy's counters over time. He notes Valdez's UFC sample is very small, so the numbers that look bad do not tell the real story.

Strengthaggressive, high-volume forward pressure
Strengthwalks through punishment without being stopped by single shots
pace · high volumechin · durablecompetition quality · untested

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
January 22, 2022 vs Matt Frevola — 3.08/min (L) — only 3.2 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jan '22 December 3, 2022 vs Natan Levy — 3.27/min (L) Dec '22 July 15, 2023 vs Evan Elder — 4.27/min (L) Jul '23

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Evan Elder 0-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · July 15, 2023
64/236Sig. strikes
96/195Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Evan Elder › Simulate vs Evan Elder ›
L Natan Levy 7-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · December 3, 2022
49/158Sig. strikes
67/135Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Natan Levy › Simulate vs Natan Levy ›
L Matt Frevola 8-3-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:15 — UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · January 22, 2022
10/38Sig. strikes
60/101Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:08Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Matt Frevola › Simulate vs Matt Frevola ›

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.7 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 6.7 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 28.5% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 48.3% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 36.4% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 0.6% avg 21.3%

Headshot of Genaro Valdez by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized