Francisco Prado

I'll probably choose Bonfim

Prado is the durability-and-pressure side of this matchup: a walk-forward fighter back at his proper weight with decent power kicking to the head and legs, but weak striking defense (barely moves his head) and wrestling that can get a takedown without holding the position afterward.

expects Radtke lands cleaner

A late replacement opponent who is a willing, exciting striker with decent power and a varied kicking game (all levels, heavy leg kick, occasional body kick) plus good Thai clinch control. His core problem is a complete lack of head movement and striking defense, which lets him get hit a lot even when he is landing himself; he is tough enough to absorb it but it costs him on scorecards. A decent grappler with good slams but does not control once on top. Described as a 'shade away' fighter, explaining his poor recent record.

Says it is only 'a pick for now' because the panel show later this week could change his mind, hopes Prado is improving 'at least a little,' and calls the whole matchup tricky.

A good striker with real power, a good head kick, and a heavy leg kick, but the analyst is blunt that his striking defense is essentially absent: his head stays on the center line and he is very easy to hit. He is durable enough to absorb that, but the analyst frames leaning on a chin instead of defense as a bad long-term plan for a young fighter. His grappling is decent, built around his ability to pick opponents up and slam them.

He explicitly calls it a nervy, risky fight in the same breath as picking Matthews, and separately says he would not bet him as a big favorite.

Prado hits hard with real forward pressure and a head kick that sneaks up on people, but he doesn't move his head much and pays for it defensively; he's tough enough to keep wading forward through return fire. His tie-up game is effective, with solid control and the occasional big slam when he does get hold of someone, though he rarely initiates grappling himself.

picks Zellhuber while saying the gap isn't massive and that he isn't very confident here -- names a winner but explicitly disclaims confidence and invites the audience to change his mind.

Francisco Prado is a Muay Thai-style striker with good power and a good head kick, but he does not move his head, which leaves his striking defense lax; his Thai clinch and clinch control are very good. His grappling is decent and slam-based rather than submission-first, and his cardio fades because of how action-heavy his own style is.

Says he will make a pick because that is his job, but adds plainly that he does not feel good about this one.

A taller, longer striker who comes forward with power and a good head kick, using his height to good effect in the Thai clinch with sneaky knees up the middle. Decent wrestling he can mix in; his striking defense is described only as the generic defense of a tall fighter leaning away.

Explicitly frames this as 'the slight lean' and immediately follows it with 'I'm not confident' -- a direct, stated qualifier on the win itself. He also estimates the opponent's chance of landing a takedown at roughly 40%, treating the outcome as genuinely close. No late reversal (rule 3f) -- he never moves off Mullarkey after stating it.

Undefeated (11-0), though his opposition is judged well short of elite; still rated clearly above the division's bottom tier. Comes forward very aggressively, has good Muay Thai, works the clinch, and throws every strike with real power. On a late-notice booking, which raises a cardio question given how aggressively he fights; takedown defense is called shoddy.