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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Fernie Garcia
Featherweight

Fernie Garcia

0-4-0
Striker Durable Suspect TD Defense Taken Down Often
5'7"Height
67"Reach
OrthodoxStance
34Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
13:03Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 50 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking good · Feb 2024 · stats read 13 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims striking power +1, striking technique +1, kicking -1, hand speed +2 (+4) Accuracy — Weak, rated 11 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · 138 MMA read him durable · Feb 2024, before his knockout loss on 2024-02-10 — stats lead, that read only steps · claims chin +2 (+4) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 28 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling decent · Nov 2022 · stats read 12 → nudged -10 inside the band · claims td offense -1 (-2) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Feb 2024 · stats read 15 → nudged -7 inside the band · claims td defense -2 (-4) Grappling — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good whiteboard
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Hermansson vs Pyfer Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Vegas 86) · February 6, 2024 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Zombie Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (UFC Singapore) · August 22, 2023 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Spivac Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 16, 2022 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Spivac Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 16, 2022 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads · whiteboard
grappling not yet read
wrestling decent 1 read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Wrestling, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Durability · stats alone on Striking D, Grappling, Control.

Built on 52 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker average striking — rates 50 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking good · Feb 2024
Durable below avg durability — rates 44 of 100 · 138 MMA read him durable · Feb 2024, before his knockout loss on 2024-02-10 — stats lead, that read only steps
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · Feb 2024 tags td defense: suspect
Taken Down Often put on his back 10 times · 2.9 per 15 min
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min1.9
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.66
Striking accuracy33.9%
Striking defense49.5%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.29
Takedown accuracy50.0%
Takedown defense44.4%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.57
Control time4.5%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Hyder Amil lean UFC Fight Night Hermansson vs Pyfer Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Vegas 86) · February 6, 2024
strikingsolid wrestlingdecent

States directly he is not very confident taking Amil here, and separately expects the fight to go late because he rates Garcia too durable to finish.

A durable bantamweight-sized featherweight (10-4) stepping in on short notice. Our paraphrase: he is called extremely durable and tough, with good combinations and fast hands, but his takedown defense is singled out as the clear hole in his UFC run, something the analyst partly excuses given who he has faced.

Strengthvery durable
Strengthfast hands
Strengthcombinations
Strengthworks the body
Weaknesstakedown defense called his clear weak point in the UFC so far
chin · durabletd defense · suspect
vs Rinya Nakamura emphatic UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Zombie Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (UFC Singapore) · August 22, 2023 · 1 read since
strikingsolid wrestlingdecent

Called the obvious pick outright and framed as something every viewer should already agree with, priced around -800 with no competing case built for the opponent at any point.

A boxing-first striker with quick hands who works the body and strings combinations together, mixing in an occasional leg kick. His takedown defense is a real weakness, and while he has some offensive wrestling in him, it hasn't shown up much at this level. His stated best path is staying at range and landing combinations.

Strengthquick-handed boxing, works the body
Weaknessreal takedown-defense weakness
Weaknessoffensive wrestling rarely shown at this level
vs Brady Hiestand clear UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Spivac Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 16, 2022 · 2 reads since
strikingdecent wrestlingdecent

Gives an unhedged, repeated endorsement - explicitly 'really big on' Hiestand, says he likes him 'a lot', and separately says he 'really likes' this pick. The only hedge offered is about the finish, not the win, which per the confidence-bar rule does not demote a win-level grade.

A boxer whose fast hands, not raw power, are his real weapon - the speed is what can knock someone out, not the force behind the punch. He has decent wrestling and decent takedown defense but is not expected to use the wrestling here, and does not kick much, leaving him a one-dimensional boxer against a bigger, longer, heavier-handed wrestler.

Strengthfast hands drive a decent boxing game
Strengthdecent wrestling and takedown defense (largely unused in this specific matchup)
Weaknessshorter reach, proportionate to his height but still a disadvantage here
Weaknessdoes not throw with much raw power
Weaknesslimited to boxing; does not kick much
Weaknessunlikely to be able to use his own wrestling in this matchup

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
May 7, 2022 vs Journey Newson — 2.47/min (L) May '22 November 19, 2022 vs Brady Hiestand — 1.4/min (L) Nov '22 August 26, 2023 vs Rinya Nakamura — 1.0/min (L) Aug '23 February 10, 2024 vs Hyder Amil — 3.61/min (L) Feb '24

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Hyder Amil 8-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 2:12 — UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · February 10, 2024
26/79Sig. strikes
79/144Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:56Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Rinya Nakamura 7-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · August 26, 2023
15/66Sig. strikes
36/57Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Brady Hiestand 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · November 19, 2022
21/44Sig. strikes
19/34Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
1:22Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Journey Newson 9-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 7, 2022
37/103Sig. strikes
57/143Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-4-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 134 qualified Featherweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 1.9 avg 3.6
Strikes absorbed /min 3.7 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 33.9% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 49.5% avg 55.3%
Takedowns /15 min 0.3 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 50.0% avg 37.4%
Takedown defense 44.4% avg 60.2%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.6 avg 0.6
Control time 4.5% avg 20.1%

Headshot of Fernie Garcia by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized