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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Emily Ducote
Women's Strawweight · “Gordinha”

Emily Ducote

15-9-0 UFC 2-3-0
Keeps It Standing Takedown-Proof Forward Pressure Volume Machine Stuck On Bottom
5'2"Height
63"Reach
OrthodoxStance
32Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
15:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 66 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · May 2024 · stats read 55 → nudged -1 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · tag counter striking: good (+1) · claims striking power +2, striking technique +2, kicking +2 (+6) Accuracy — Strong, rated 89 of 100 · claims striking technique +2, counter striking +1 (+5) Striking D — Weak, rated 6 of 100 · claims pressure resistance +1 (+1) Durability — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · claims pressure resistance +1 (+1) Wrestling — Weak, rated 18 of 100 · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Average, rated 69 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · May 2024 · stats read 90 → nudged +6 inside the band · tag getup: poor (-10) · claims td defense +1, getup -2 (-1) Grappling — Weak, rated 10 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · claims top control -1 (-4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Barboza vs Murphy Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 92) · May 15, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs Barboza Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (UFC Vegas 81) · October 12, 2023 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Dern vs Hill Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 73) · May 16, 2023 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Durability, Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Grappling.

Built on 75 minutes of tracked cage time across 5 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Keeps It Standing stuffs 94% of takedowns and spends 1% of the fight grappling
Takedown-Proof 16 of 17 takedowns stuffed
Forward Pressure 7.5 landed and 7.8 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Volume Machine 7.5 significant strikes landed per minute
Stuck On Bottom 138 MMA · Oct 2023 tags getup: poor
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min7.45
Sig. strikes absorbed / min7.84
Striking accuracy52.1%
Striking defense57.9%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.2
Takedown accuracy14.3%
Takedown defense94.1%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time1.3%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Vanessa Demopoulos lean UFC Fight Night Barboza vs Murphy Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 92) · May 15, 2024
strikinggood

A named pick ('demopoulos here', seg 9) backed by a real stylistic argument, but admittedly price-driven, with a direct hedge on the result itself right beside the name -- demoted from clear to lean.

A patient counter-striker with genuinely good hands, credited as the cleaner, more technical striker in this matchup. Her leg kicks are a standout weapon. The concern is stylistic: she can be too passive against forward pressure, and once taken down is hard to dislodge but has trouble getting back up.

Strengthleg kicks
Strengthpatient counter-striker
Strengthclean, technical boxing
Strengthgood takedown defense (tough opponent to drag down)
Weaknesscan be too patient / gives up minutes
Weaknessonce taken down, can be held there
td defense · good
vs Ashley Yoder lean UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs Barboza Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (UFC Vegas 81) · October 12, 2023 · 1 read since
strikinggood

He self-labels it a lean twice ('leaning to', 'give me ... here') and gives a real plan -- press forward, close distance, land leg kicks and power shots. His only hedge is on the price ('don't like the odds', 'lay the juice'), a wager caution, not doubt about who wins.

A good, patient counter-fighter whose leg kicks carry real force, though that same patience risks drifting into inactivity, which is not ideal against a taller, longer-limbed opponent. Good takedown defense, but once put on her back she can be held there. He expects a mostly standup contest and picks her to press forward and shorten the distance rather than sit back and wait, getting her own power shots and kicks off.

Strengthgood counters
Strengthhard leg kicks
Strengthgood takedown defense
Weaknesspatience can lead to inactivity
Weaknesscan be held down once taken down
counter striking · goodtd defense · goodgetup · poorpace · deliberate
vs Lupita Godinez lean UFC Fight Night Dern vs Hill Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Vegas 73) · May 16, 2023 · 2 reads since
strikinggood

says he will not go crazy on this pick and twice allows he could be wrong

A good striker whose leg kick is her best weapon, backed by good counter-striking and a patient style that waits for counters -- though that patience can tip into inactivity. Good takedown defense, but once actually taken down she gets stuck on the mat and is not good at working back to her feet for a primary striker. A recent poor performance is read as a one-off rather than a real decline. The analyst's pick, on the strength of her counters and leg kicks landing.

Strengthgood striking led by the leg kick
Strengthgood counter-striking
Strengthgood takedown defense
Weaknesspatient style can lead to inactivity
Weaknessgets stuck on the mat and struggles to get back up once taken down
counter striking · goodgetup · poor
vs Angela Hill clear UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 29, 2022 · 3 reads since

says he favors Ducote more than most and feels good about the pick, though he will not call it a lock

A newer UFC counter-striker he rates ahead of the record, built around real pop in her hands, leg kicks to slow a mobile opponent, and the willingness to mix in a takedown late in a round if the standup gets close. He leans toward her landing the heavier single shots over the course of the fight and thinks that shows more to judges than Hill's volume.

Strengthreal one-shot power, referenced vs a regional opponent
Strengthleg kicks aimed at the lead leg
Strengthwill mix in a takedown to steal a round
Strengthcounters well if the other side presses
ko power · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 5 fights · green = win
July 16, 2022 vs Jessica Penne — 7.73/min (W) Jul '22 December 3, 2022 vs Angela Hill — 4.73/min (L) Dec '22 May 20, 2023 vs Loopy Godinez — 7.47/min (L) May '23 October 14, 2023 vs Ashley Yoder — 7.8/min (W) Oct '23 May 18, 2024 vs Vanessa Demopoulos — 9.53/min (L) May '24

Fight history

5 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Vanessa Demopoulos 10-5 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · May 18, 2024
143/214Sig. strikes
109/293Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:46Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ashley Yoder 8-8 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · October 14, 2023
117/210Sig. strikes
102/269Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Loopy Godinez 9-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
112/270Sig. strikes
132/246Absorbed
0/4Takedowns
0:11Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Angela Hill 14-12 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · December 3, 2022
71/173Sig. strikes
182/345Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jessica Penne 14-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · July 16, 2022
116/205Sig. strikes
63/244Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
15-9-0Pro record
American Top Team OklahomaGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 4
Submission 5
Decision 6
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 8
Other 0

Fights by organization

Bellator 8
Invicta FC 7
UFC 5
Xtreme Fight Night 2
OKC 1
Freestyle Cage Fighting 1
Full career — 24 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Thaiane Souza KO (punch) Invicta FC 61
April 4, 2025
Invicta FC 1 2:29
W Yulia Ostroverkhova Submission (armbar) Invicta FC 58
November 6, 2024
Invicta FC 2 3:53
L Vanessa Demopoulos Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
May 18, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
W Ashley Yoder Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
October 14, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Lupita Godinez Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
May 20, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Angela Hill Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland
December 3, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
W Jessica Penne Decision (unanimous) UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodríguez
July 16, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
W Alesha Zappitella TKO (doctor stoppage) Invicta FC 47
May 11, 2022
Invicta FC 2 5:00
W Danielle Taylor KO (punch and head kick) Invicta FC 44
August 27, 2021
Invicta FC 1 2:51
W Juliana Lima Decision (unanimous) Invicta FC 40
July 2, 2020
Invicta FC 3 5:00
L Kanako Murata Decision (split) Invicta FC 38
November 1, 2019
Invicta FC 5 5:00
W Janaisa Morandin KO (punches) Invicta FC 36
August 9, 2019
Invicta FC 1 4:03
W Kathryn Paprocki Submission (rear-naked choke) Xtreme Fight Night 356
February 1, 2019
Xtreme Fight Night 3 3:31
L Veta Arteaga Decision (unanimous) Bellator 202
July 13, 2018
Bellator 3 5:00
L Kristina Williams Decision (split) Bellator 196
March 2, 2018
Bellator 3 5:00
L Ilima-Lei Macfarlane Submission (triangle armbar) Bellator 186
November 3, 2017
Bellator 5 3:42
W Jessica Middleton Decision (unanimous) Bellator 181
July 14, 2017
Bellator 3 5:00
W Katy Collins Submission (rear-naked choke) Bellator 174
March 3, 2017
Bellator 1 4:53
L Ilima-Lei Macfarlane Decision (unanimous) Bellator 167
December 3, 2016
Bellator 3 5:00
W Kenya Miranda Submission (armbar) Bellator 161
September 16, 2016
Bellator 2 4:37
W Bruna Vargas Submission (rear-naked choke) Bellator 159
July 22, 2016
Bellator 2 0:29
W Jianna Denizard Decision (unanimous) Xtreme Fight Night 29
May 14, 2016
Xtreme Fight Night 5 3:00
W Ronnie Nanney Decision (unanimous) OKC: Charity Fight Night 2016
January 14, 2016
OKC 5 3:00
L Emily Whitmire Decision (unanimous) Freestyle Cage Fighting 50
September 15, 2015
Freestyle Cage Fighting 3 5:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Emily Ducote) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 58 qualified Women's Strawweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 7.5 avg 3.9
Strikes absorbed /min 7.8 avg 4.1
Striking accuracy 52.1% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 57.9% avg 54.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.2 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 14.3% avg 38.7%
Takedown defense 94.1% avg 60.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 1.3% avg 21.2%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 33.9%

Headshot of Emily Ducote by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized