Daniel Barez

He builds the pick around a specific mechanism -- Barez outboxing Gurule early before his own fade sets in -- and states plainly that Barez 'probably' finishes him early.

Daniel Barez is a solid striker who should win the first round decisively on the feet, mixing a good leg kick, real power, body work and level changes behind forward pressure, though his own striking defense is not great. The problem is that he fades hard after round one and is probably losing by round three if the fight gets there. He also has a decent, if secondary, grappling game, but using it tends to wear him out faster.

He expects Lima to win via better conditioning late and his history of finding a way, calling Barez only a live underdog at the posted price rather than hedging the outcome.

Our words: primarily a striker despite a grappling background, pressuring forward with a good leg kick, real power and combinations across levels. He is an explicit fast starter who the analyst says fades as the rounds wear on, with shaky defense partly masked by his quick pace. His grappling is secondary but functional: decent takedowns mixed in, solid ground-and-pound, active from his back.

Calls it genuinely hard to split and says he may end up betting both corners once the line moves -- real outcome doubt stacked on a wager-caution signal.

An extremely fast starter who wins round one in almost every fight, built on solid striking -- good leg kick, real power, devastating body shots, and the ability to change levels in combination -- but his striking defense is suspect and he is said to fade after the hot start.

Calls it a tough, close fight that 'depends where it goes', but commits with 'Helio is my pick', expecting a finish by submission.

Barez is called the more tactical striker of the two, working a good leg kick and real power into combinations that go high-low-high, and he mixes in aggressive, well-rounded takedowns and ground-and-pound. His own striking defense is a stated weak point. The analyst leans toward Filho only once the fight hits the mat.