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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Claudio Puelles
Lightweight · “Prince of Peru”

Claudio Puelles

12-5-0 UFC 5-4-0
Smothering Control Chain Wrestling Striking Liability
5'10"Height
72"Reach
SouthpawStance
30Age
0KO wins
3Sub wins
60.0%Finish rate
11:38Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking poor · Sep 2025 · stats read 6 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims striking technique -2, kicking +2 (-1) Accuracy — Average, rated 52 of 100 · claims striking technique -2 (-4) Striking D — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Weak, rated 24 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Strong, rated 90 of 100 · claims td offense -1 (-2) TD Defense — Average, rated 60 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Above avg, rated 84 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling solid · Sep 2025 · stats read 83 → nudged +2 inside the band · claims sub offense +3 (+6) Control — Elite, rated 99 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking poor whiteboard
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • poor UFC Fight Night Lopes vs Silva Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 9, 2025 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • poor UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Royval 2 Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Mexico) · February 19, 2024 watch ↗
grappling solid whiteboard
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Lopes vs Silva Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 9, 2025 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • very good UFC 281 Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · November 8, 2022 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking poor 2 reads · whiteboard
grappling solid 2 reads · whiteboard
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability, TD Defense.

Smothering Control 45% of every fight spent in control position
Chain Wrestling 23 takedowns from 68 attempts · 3.3 landed per 15 min
Striking Liability 138 MMA whiteboard · Sep 2025 grades his striking poor
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min1.54
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.62
Striking accuracy46.7%
Striking defense48.1%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min3.29
Takedown accuracy33.8%
Takedown defense60.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min1.0
Control time44.6%
Record vs .500+ opponents2-3

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Joaquim Silva clear UFC Fight Night Lopes vs Silva Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 9, 2025
strikingpoor grapplingvery good

Names Silva as his clear selection, with no hedge anywhere in the chapter; the analyst says he doesn't understand why Silva isn't a bigger favorite.

Poor, straight-up bad striking by the analyst's own blunt description. His game is entirely the jiu-jitsu: positionally sound, very smooth transitions, always attacking submissions (mostly leg locks), and genuinely scary on the mat. His clearest weakness is that he lacks open-mat takedowns and will abandon a failed shot by going to his back instead -- which the analyst says won't work against this opponent.

Strengthpositionally sound, smooth transitions
Strengthalways attacking submissions, especially leg locks
Strengthscary on the mat
Weaknesspoor, bad striking
Weaknesslacks open-mat takedowns; shoots and falls to his back if it fails
vs Fares Ziam coinflip UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Royval 2 Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Mexico) · February 19, 2024 · 1 read since
strikingpoor grapplingvery good

explicitly tells viewers not to risk cash on this one and calls it a toss-up either way -- names a winner (Ziam) but advises against betting it.

Claudio Puelles is a positionally sound, always-attacking jiu-jitsu player with smooth transitions and a leglock specialty, but he lacks opponent takedowns of his own and his striking is poor. The analyst calls him the clearly weaker striker in this matchup but the stronger grappler once he's able to drag things to the floor.

Strengthpositionally sound BJJ
Strengthsmooth transitions
Strengthalways attacking submissions
Strengthleglock specialist
Weaknesspoor striking
Weaknesslacks takedowns of his own, relies on opponent errors/scrambles to get there
vs Dan Hooker coinflip UFC 281 Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · November 8, 2022 · 2 reads since
grapplingvery good

A disclosed pick/value split, not a hidden reversal: he states outright that the technical case favors Puelles, then names Hooker anyway purely on rooting interest, calling his own pick not confident in the least. Both the openly conceded technical case for Puelles and the rooting-driven naming of Hooker are preserved; the low confidence is his own stated word, not an inference.

ASR renders his surname as 'poyas'/'players' throughout; the board itself spells it correctly. A dangerous ground fighter on a two-fight kneebar win streak, with decent takedowns, though his own striking (apart from solid kicks) is described as needing work. The analyst's technical read explicitly favors him to win this fight.

Strengthdangerous leg-lock/kneebar finishing ability, three of his last five wins by kneebar per the analyst
Strengthdecent takedowns
Strengthsolid kicks
Weaknessstriking (apart from kicks) described as needing work

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
May 19, 2018 vs Felipe Silva — 1.29/min (W) May '18 September 21, 2019 vs Marcos Mariano — 1.47/min (W) Sep '19 June 5, 2021 vs Jordan Leavitt — 1.33/min (W) Jun '21 December 4, 2021 vs Chris Gruetzemacher — 3.2/min (W) Dec '21 April 23, 2022 vs Clay Guida — 0.33/min (W) — only 3.0 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Apr '22 November 12, 2022 vs Dan Hooker — 0.55/min (L) Nov '22 February 24, 2024 vs Fares Ziam — 0.27/min (L) Feb '24 September 13, 2025 vs Joaquim Silva — 1.4/min (L) Sep '25

Fight history

9 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Joaquim Silva 13-5 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · September 13, 2025
21/63Sig. strikes
25/66Absorbed
4/16Takedowns
7:25Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Fares Ziam 14-4 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · February 24, 2024
4/9Sig. strikes
31/48Absorbed
7/13Takedowns
7:14Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Dan Hooker 21-12 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:06 — UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · November 12, 2022
5/18Sig. strikes
29/63Absorbed
0/8Takedowns
0:08Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Clay Guida 36-20 walk-in Submission · R1 3:01 — UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · April 23, 2022
1/3Sig. strikes
3/4Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:14Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
W Chris Gruetzemacher 15-4 walk-in Submission · R3 3:25 — UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · December 4, 2021
43/68Sig. strikes
38/55Absorbed
1/8Takedowns
6:20Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Jordan Leavitt 8-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · June 5, 2021
20/33Sig. strikes
21/34Absorbed
4/4Takedowns
10:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Marcos Mariano 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · September 21, 2019
22/34Sig. strikes
2/9Absorbed
4/6Takedowns
13:20Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
W Felipe Silva 8-1 walk-in Submission · R3 2:23 — UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · May 19, 2018
16/49Sig. strikes
70/130Absorbed
2/7Takedowns
1:29Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Martin Bravo 10-0 walk-in TITLE KO/TKO · R2 1:55 — UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · November 5, 2016
29/68Sig. strikes
56/121Absorbed
1/6Takedowns
0:34Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
12-5-0Pro record
Pitbull Martial Arts Center, Sanford MMA (2021–present)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 7
Decision 3
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 9
300 Sparta 4
Inka FC 4
Full career — 17 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Joaquim Silva Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
September 13, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
L Farès Ziam Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
February 24, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Dan Hooker TKO (front kick to the body) UFC 281
November 12, 2022
UFC 2 4:06
W Clay Guida Submission (kneebar) UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
April 23, 2022
UFC 1 3:01
W Chris Gruetzemacher Submission (kneebar) UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo
December 4, 2021
UFC 3 3:26
W Jordan Leavitt Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
June 5, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
W Marcos Mariano Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Rodríguez vs. Stephens
September 21, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Felipe Silva Submission (kneebar) UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
May 19, 2018
UFC 3 2:23
L Martin Bravo TKO (punches) The Ultimate Fighter Latin America 3 Finale: dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
November 5, 2016
UFC 2 1:55
W Alvaro Sugasti KO (head kick) 300 Sparta 6
April 18, 2015
300 Sparta 1 1:24
W Edimar Martins Rayol Submission (kneebar) Inka FC: Inka Warriors 2
October 25, 2014
Inka FC 1 2:36
L David Cubas Decision (unanimous) Inka FC: Inka Warriors 1
August 30, 2014
Inka FC 3 5:00
W Lander Duarte Alves Decision (unanimous) Inka FC 25
April 16, 2014
Inka FC 3 5:00
W Guile Calvete Submission (rear-naked choke) 300 Sparta 5
February 16, 2014
300 Sparta 2 —
W Manuel Meza TKO (cut) 300 Sparta 4
October 10, 2013
300 Sparta 3 0:00
W Renzo Mendez Submission (arm-triangle choke) Inka FC 23
August 24, 2013
Inka FC 2 0:00
W Angel Alvarez Submission (armbar) 300 Sparta 2
July 17, 2013
300 Sparta 3 —

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Claudio Puelles) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 1.5 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 2.6 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 46.7% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 48.1% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 3.3 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 33.8% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 60.0% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 1.0 avg 0.6
Control time 44.6% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 60.0% avg 50.7%

Headshot of Claudio Puelles by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized