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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Flyweight · “The Cannon”

Carlos Candelario

0-2-0
Submission Grappler Striker Suspect TD Defense Wrestling Liability
5'8"Height
68"Reach
SouthpawStance
35Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
11:19Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 53 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking good · Nov 2022 · stats read 33 → nudged -8 inside the band · claims striking power +2 (+4) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Weak, rated 8 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 30 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Below avg, rated 33 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: wrestling poor · Nov 2022 · stats read 38 → nudged +3 inside the band TD Defense — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Nov 2022 · stats read 55 → nudged +7 inside the band · claims td defense -2, getup +2 (-1) Grappling — Average, rated 55 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Nov 2022 · stats read 45 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims ground and pound +2 (+2) Control — Average, rated 50 of 100 · claims top control -2, ground and pound +2 (-5) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good whiteboard
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Lemos Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · November 2, 2022 · whiteboard watch ↗
grappling good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Lemos Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · November 2, 2022 watch ↗
wrestling poor whiteboard
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • poor UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Lemos Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · November 2, 2022 · whiteboard watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read · whiteboard
grappling good 1 read
wrestling poor 1 read · whiteboard
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Wrestling, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Control · stats alone on Accuracy, Striking D, Durability.

Built on 22 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Submission Grappler average grappling — rates 55 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Nov 2022
Striker average striking — rates 53 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking good · Nov 2022
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · Nov 2022 tags td defense: suspect
Wrestling Liability 138 MMA whiteboard · Nov 2022 grades his wrestling poor
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.44
Sig. strikes absorbed / min6.49
Striking accuracy42.9%
Striking defense42.6%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.99
Takedown accuracy50.0%
Takedown defense80.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.66
Control time22.6%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Jake Hadley lean UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Lemos Full Card Preview, Prediction, & Analysis · November 2, 2022
grapplinggood

names Hadley the 'official pick' and 'more well-rounded' but repeats 'I don't trust him' and says he would not parlay him

Coming off two straight UFC losses, the first to a well-regarded, heavily hyped prospect in a fight the analyst says he still competed respectably in. He is credited with good (board-matching) grappling and boxing and is called the probable boxing-advantage fighter in this matchup, scrappy with some knockouts, but his takedown defense is specifically called out as poor -- he gets taken down fairly easily, even though he usually gets back up.

Strengthgood boxing, called the likely striking advantage over Hadley
Strengthscrappy, has some knockouts
Strengthgood grappling/ground-and-pound path
Weaknesspoor takedown defense -- taken down fairly easily
Weaknesstwo-fight UFC losing streak
td defense · suspect

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Jake Hadley 0-1 walk-in Submission · R2 2:39 — UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · November 5, 2022
69/148Sig. strikes
90/169Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
1:39Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Tatsuro Taira 10-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · May 14, 2022
9/34Sig. strikes
57/87Absorbed
2/5Takedowns
3:28Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 2

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 67 qualified Flyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.4 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 6.5 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 42.9% avg 44.9%
Striking defense 42.6% avg 56.2%
Takedowns /15 min 2.0 avg 1.7
Takedown accuracy 50.0% avg 36.0%
Takedown defense 80.0% avg 60.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.7 avg 0.7
Control time 22.6% avg 19.8%