Carl Deaton

'Take a shot on' Deaton, 'I might change later,' explicitly won't bet it -- both outcome doubt and price caution.

A well-rounded 'jack of all trades' who brings decent forward-pressure striking and decent grappling with good scrambles. Can be taken down but works back to his feet well, and the analyst argues he is simply the better overall fighter in this matchup than his opponent, Joe Sawicki comparison notwithstanding.

He names Solecki as a safe analytical pick on real mechanism (grappling/top control over three rounds); the only hedge concerns the extreme price near -600, not the outcome -- he simply will not wager it at such a lopsided number.

A decent striker with real power and a bit of an open-for-counters habit, stepping in on short notice after cancelling a different-promotion booking the same weekend to take this UFC opportunity. His path to success is surviving or escaping Solecki's top control -- he does get back up and scrambles very well -- to either land something or steal a round with ground-and-pound if he can reverse position.