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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Brogan Walker
Women's Flyweight · “The Bear”

Brogan Walker

7-5-0 UFC 0-3-0
Durable Defensive Striker
5'4"Height
67"Reach
SwitchStance
38Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
14:39Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 30 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Sep 2025 · stats read 12 → nudged -9 inside the band Accuracy — Weak, rated 7 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking defence marked as a minus · stats read 34 → nudged -1 inside the band · claims striking defense -1, head movement +1 (-2) Durability — Above avg, rated 73 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Sep 2025 · stats read 33 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims chin +1 (+2) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 25 of 100 · claims clinch +1 (+1) TD Defense — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · claims td defense -2, getup -1 (-6) Grappling — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Sep 2025 · stats read 24 → nudged -5 inside the band Control — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Pavlovich vs Blaydes Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 71 · April 18, 2023 watch ↗
grappling decent
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Pavlovich vs Blaydes Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 71 · April 18, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking decent 2 reads
grappling decent 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D, Durability, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Wrestling, TD Defense · stats alone on Accuracy, Control.

Built on 43 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Durable above avg durability — rates 73 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Sep 2025
Defensive Striker below avg striking d — rates 34 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking defence marked as a minus
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min1.84
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.32
Striking accuracy32.0%
Striking defense47.5%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.02
Takedown accuracy75.0%
Takedown defense11.1%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time11.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Veronica Hardy emphatic UFC 320 Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 30, 2025
strikingdecent grapplingdecent

Says he does not see a path for Walker to win short of a fluke, calls her 'not UFC level' and expects Hardy to win at a very high clip; no hedge on the win itself.

Called a decent-at-best striker who moves fairly well and fights from either stance but is said to have no real offensive tools and bad striking defense, with durability on the feet described as pretty good. Her grappling is a push against the cage but she can be held down once there. The analyst does not see a UFC-level path for her here.

Strengthmoves fairly well, fights either stance
Strengthpretty good standing durability
Strengthcan push opponents against the cage
Weaknessno real offensive tools
Weaknessstriking defense called bad
Weaknessstruggles to escape bottom position once grounded
chin · durable
vs Iasmin Lucindo clear UFC Fight Night Pavlovich vs Blaydes Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 71 · April 18, 2023 · 1 read since
strikingdecent grapplingdecent

Stated plainly ('lucindo's the pick') with a direct mechanism -- her grappling and top pressure against Walker's poor takedown defense -- and he calls her the better fighter outright. The only hedge is on the specific finish ('I wouldn't bet the finish'), a method-level qualifier that per the confidence bar does not demote the win pick.

Decent grappling and decent striking, but a takedown defense he calls not good at all, citing a prior loss where she was taken down at will. Not judged a bad fighter, just a clear tier below her opponent here.

Weaknesstakedown defense isn't very good
Weaknessa tier below this opponent overall

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
August 6, 2022 vs Juliana Miller — 2.15/min (L) Aug '22 April 22, 2023 vs Iasmin Lucindo — 1.93/min (L) Apr '23 October 4, 2025 vs Veronica Hardy — 1.47/min (L) Oct '25

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Veronica Hardy 9-5-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · October 4, 2025
22/60Sig. strikes
39/75Absorbed
3/4Takedowns
2:55Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Iasmin Lucindo 13-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · April 22, 2023
29/145Sig. strikes
53/118Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:04Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Juliana Miller 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 3:57 — UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · August 6, 2022
30/48Sig. strikes
54/85Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:16Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
7-5-0Pro record
Elite Muay Thai, Purebred BJJ GuamGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 6
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 4
Other 0

Fights by organization

Invicta FC 5
Pacific Xtreme Combat 4
UFC 3
Full career — 12 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Veronica Hardy Decision (unanimous) UFC 320
October 4, 2025
UFC 3 5:00
L Iasmin Lucindo Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
April 22, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Juliana Miller TKO (punches and elbows) UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill
August 6, 2022
UFC 3 3:57
W Emilee King Submission (rear-naked choke) Invicta FC 44
August 27, 2021
Invicta FC 1 4:28
L Erin Blanchfield Decision (unanimous) Invicta FC 41
July 30, 2020
Invicta FC 3 5:00
L Pearl Gonzalez Decision (unanimous) Invicta FC 37
October 4, 2019
Invicta FC 3 5:00
W Miranda Maverick Decision (unanimous) Invicta FC 30
July 21, 2018
Invicta FC 3 5:00
W Cheri Muraski Decision (split) Invicta FC 27
January 13, 2018
Invicta FC 3 5:00
W Kate Da Silva Decision (unanimous) Pacific Xtreme Combat 54
July 8, 2016
Pacific Xtreme Combat 3 5:00
W Emiko Raika Decision (unanimous) Pacific Xtreme Combat 50
December 4, 2015
Pacific Xtreme Combat 3 5:00
W Gabby Romero Decision (unanimous) Pacific Xtreme Combat 49
August 7, 2015
Pacific Xtreme Combat 3 5:00
W Jung Yoo-jin Decision (unanimous) Pacific Xtreme Combat 45
October 24, 2014
Pacific Xtreme Combat 3 5:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Brogan Walker) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 56 qualified Women's Flyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 1.8 avg 4.0
Strikes absorbed /min 3.3 avg 3.8
Striking accuracy 32.0% avg 44.2%
Striking defense 47.5% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 1.0 avg 1.3
Takedown accuracy 75.0% avg 41.3%
Takedown defense 11.1% avg 60.7%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 11.9% avg 21.4%

Headshot of Brogan Walker by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized