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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Aleksa Camur
Light Heavyweight

Aleksa Camur

6-3-0 UFC 1-3-0
Precision Striker Durable
6'1"Height
74"Reach
OrthodoxStance
31Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
15:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 57 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2023 · stats read 50 → nudged -2 inside the band · claims striking technique +1, kicking +1 (+2) Accuracy — Above avg, rated 82 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 21 of 100 · claims striking defense -2 (-6) Durability — Average, rated 61 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Below avg, rated 28 of 100 · claims clinch +1 (+1) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 42 of 100 · claims getup +2 (+3) Grappling — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Aug 2023 · stats read 20 → nudged -7 inside the band Control — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Sandhagen vs Font Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · August 1, 2023 watch ↗
grappling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Sandhagen vs Font Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · August 1, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling decent 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Durability.

Built on 60 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Precision Striker above avg accuracy — rates 82 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2)
Durable average durability — rates 61 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.45
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.55
Striking accuracy55.7%
Striking defense54.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.5
Takedown accuracy22.2%
Takedown defense50.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time10.8%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-0

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Tanner Boser coinflip UFC Fight Night Sandhagen vs Font Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · August 1, 2023
strikinggood grapplingdecent

Named pick, segment 6: he states plainly that he is taking Boser. Immediately and explicitly undercut as a near-zero-conviction pick: he says outright he has zero confidence in the pick and calls it the hardest fight on the card for him to call. He even invites being talked out of it, saying a good counter-argument for Camur would probably change his mind. The stated basis for the pick is simply deferring to the betting market's own favorite rather than his own independent read -- this is a hedge directly on the win itself, the strongest version of outcome doubt on this card, so it is recorded at coinflip.

Camur is a clean, straight-shot striker with a good front kick who is hittable in the pocket and tends to stay in the pocket too long, letting himself get hit. His grappling is decent, built mostly around winning minutes with a cage push and a refusal to accept bottom position (shown against William Knight). He is returning from a long layoff.

Strengthclean, straight-shot striking with a good front kick
Strengthgood cage push, wins minutes against the fence
Strengthnever accepts bottom position, works back up or reverses
Weaknesshittable in the pocket
Weaknessstays in the pocket too long, 'hangs out too long'

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
January 18, 2020 vs Justin Ledet — 5.33/min (W) Jan '20 September 26, 2020 vs William Knight — 1.13/min (L) Sep '20 June 19, 2021 vs Nicolae Negumereanu — 6.8/min (L) Jun '21 August 5, 2023 vs Tanner Boser — 4.53/min (L) Aug '23

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Tanner Boser 20-10-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · August 5, 2023
68/136Sig. strikes
120/215Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
1:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Nicolae Negumereanu 9-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · June 19, 2021
102/148Sig. strikes
71/193Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L William Knight 8-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · September 26, 2020
17/30Sig. strikes
38/54Absorbed
1/4Takedowns
5:26Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Justin Ledet 9-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · January 18, 2020
80/165Sig. strikes
44/131Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
6-3-0Pro record
Strong Style Fight TeamGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 5
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4
Honor FC 2
IT Fight Series 2
Dana White's Contender Series 1
Full career — 9 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Tanner Boser Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font
August 5, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Nicolae Negumereanu Decision (split) UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige
June 19, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
L William Knight Decision (unanimous) UFC 253
September 27, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
W Justin Ledet Decision (unanimous) UFC 246
January 18, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
W Fabio Cherant TKO (flying knee and punches) Dana White's Contender Series 22
July 30, 2019
Dana White's Contender Series 2 0:48
W Marvin Skipper TKO (punches) Honor FC 6
August 18, 2018
Honor FC 1 2:34
W Allen Bose TKO (punches) Honor FC 3
March 31, 2018
Honor FC 1 2:04
W David White TKO (punches) IT Fight Series 78
December 9, 2017
IT Fight Series 2 3:59
W Randy Tran KO (punch) IT Fight Series 76
September 16, 2017
IT Fight Series 1 0:20

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Aleksa Camur) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 103 qualified Light Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.5 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 4.5 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 55.7% avg 46.8%
Striking defense 54.0% avg 53.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.5 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 22.2% avg 38.4%
Takedown defense 50.0% avg 61.0%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 10.8% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 63.4%

Headshot of Aleksa Camur by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized