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Bout Simulator
AJ Fletcher
Welterweight · “The Ghost”

AJ Fletcher

1-3-0
Submission Grappler Precision Striker
5'10"Height
67"Reach
SwitchStance
29Age
0KO wins
1Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
11:32Avg fight
Simulate Tapology ↗

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · claims striking power +1, pressure +1 (+2) Accuracy — Average, rated 65 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Weak, rated 9 of 100 · claims striking defense -2 (-6) Durability — Average, rated 57 of 100 · claims chin -1 (-2) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: wrestling decent · Feb 2023 · stats read 44 → nudged +2 inside the band TD Defense — Below avg, rated 30 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: wrestling decent (no takedown-defence tag), half-weighted with the stats read 20 Grappling — Average, rated 65 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Average, rated 58 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking not yet read
grappling not yet read
wrestling decent whiteboard
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Andrade vs Blanchfield Predictions & Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 69 · February 14, 2023 · whiteboard watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking not yet read
grappling not yet read
wrestling decent 1 read · whiteboard
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Wrestling · his tags and claims adjust Striking, Striking D, Durability, TD Defense · stats alone on Accuracy, Grappling, Control.

Built on 46 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Submission Grappler average grappling — rates 65 of 100 among UFC veterans
Precision Striker average accuracy — rates 65 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.32
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.77
Striking accuracy48.9%
Striking defense45.7%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.3
Takedown accuracy33.3%
Takedown defense33.3%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.98
Control time22.1%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Themba Gorimbo lean UFC Fight Night Andrade vs Blanchfield Predictions & Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 69 · February 14, 2023

He directly disclaims confidence, declines any wager, and takes Fletcher only on a bare tiebreaker: a tougher resume and a style matchup that could let him finish from the top.

A short-armed forward-moving striker who throws bombs with little regard for defense. Our words: he starts a touch faster than Gorimbo and has faced the tougher level of competition, but his cardio visibly fades every round, and the analyst is not confident picking him despite taking him.

Strengthmoves forward and throws with power
Strengthstarts a little faster than the opponent
Strengthhas faced a better level of competition
Weaknesscardio fades noticeably every round
Weaknessall offense, little defense; leaves his chin exposed while throwing

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
March 12, 2022 vs Matthew Semelsberger — 2.27/min (L) Mar '22 August 20, 2022 vs Ange Loosa — 5.8/min (L) Aug '22 February 18, 2023 vs Themba Gorimbo — 1.06/min (W) Feb '23 September 23, 2023 vs Bryan Battle — 2.62/min (L) Sep '23

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Bryan Battle 9-2 walk-in Submission · R2 4:32 — UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · September 23, 2023
25/51Sig. strikes
45/80Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:33Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Bryan Battle › Simulate vs Bryan Battle ›
W Themba Gorimbo 10-3 walk-in Submission · R2 1:37 — UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · February 18, 2023
7/17Sig. strikes
6/10Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
3:21Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Themba Gorimbo › Simulate vs Themba Gorimbo ›
L Ange Loosa 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · August 20, 2022
87/181Sig. strikes
129/233Absorbed
0/4Takedowns
0:36Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Ange Loosa › Simulate vs Ange Loosa ›
L Matthew Semelsberger 9-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · March 12, 2022
34/64Sig. strikes
40/82Absorbed
4/6Takedowns
5:42Control
0Knockdowns
2Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Matthew Semelsberger › Simulate vs Matthew Semelsberger ›

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.3 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 4.8 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 48.9% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 45.7% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 1.3 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 33.3% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 33.3% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 1.0 avg 0.6
Control time 22.1% avg 21.5%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 53.9%

Headshot of AJ Fletcher by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized